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Gold Nears $4,400 as Rate Hike Expectations Fade

Gold nears $4,400 as a softer dollar and weaker U.S. economic signals support bullion prices. Investors now expect less pressure from the Federal Reserve next month. That shift has strengthened demand for gold as markets reassess the interest-rate outlook.

Spot gold climbed 0.4% to $4,391.49 an ounce during early Monday trading. The metal also reached its highest level in more than two months last week. December U.S. gold futures gained 0.3% to reach $4,448.40. The latest moves keep bullion close to a major psychological price level.

The U.S. dollar index slipped 0.2% on Monday. A weaker dollar generally supports gold because it lowers costs for buyers using other currencies. Recent economic figures have also encouraged investors to rethink the Federal Reserve’s next steps. Gold nears $4,400 as traders increasingly reduce expectations for another rate increase.

July employment figures added to those concerns about the U.S. economy. Nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly declined during the month. Consumer inflation also remained relatively moderate, according to recent data. Together, those developments have weakened expectations for tighter monetary policy.

Market pricing now shows a 30% probability of a September rate increase. That figure stood near 47% one month earlier. Lower interest rates can make gold more attractive to investors. Bullion does not generate interest, so its appeal often improves when bond yields decline.

Markets will closely watch the Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes this week. Officials will release the minutes on Wednesday. Investors will search for clues about inflation risks and future monetary policy. Any indication of a softer stance could provide another boost for precious metals.

Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade, said gold entered the week with strong momentum. He linked the recent strength to softer inflation and pressure on the dollar. However, he noted that gold may need further dollar weakness to break decisively above $4,500. Falling energy prices could also help support that move.

Geopolitical developments remain another factor for precious metals. U.S. President Donald Trump’s envoys held talks with Egyptian, Qatari, and Turkish mediators in Cairo. The discussions focused on efforts to advance a proposed Gaza peace plan. Meanwhile, Israeli military operations continued across the enclave.

Other precious metals also posted mixed results during Monday’s session. Spot silver advanced 1.4% to $65.57 an ounce. Platinum slipped 0.1% to $1,746.43. Palladium gained 1.4% to reach $1,331.10.

For now, gold nears $4,400 with several supportive forces behind the rally. Weaker economic data has reduced expectations for higher U.S. borrowing costs. A softer dollar has also improved gold’s appeal internationally. Investors will now focus on the Federal Reserve minutes for the next major market signal.